ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172023               
0900 UTC FRI OCT 20 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  3  49(52)  31(83)   6(89)   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   5( 5)  26(31)   7(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   1( 1)  10(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  3  40(43)  36(79)   8(87)   2(89)   X(89)   X(89)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   4( 4)  23(27)   9(36)   2(38)   X(38)   X(38)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
LA PAZ         34  3   8(11)  21(32)  10(42)   4(46)   X(46)   X(46)
LA PAZ         50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LORETO         34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CULIACAN       34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   5(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  4   7(11)   4(15)   2(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
MAZATLAN       34  3   4( 7)   5(12)   5(17)   8(25)   2(27)   X(27)
MAZATLAN       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAN BLAS       34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
P VALLARTA     34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MANZANILLO     34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
20N 110W       34 94   3(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
20N 110W       50 27  33(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   1(61)   X(61)
20N 110W       64  4  15(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34 15   6(21)   1(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS                                                  
NNNN