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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202023
1500 UTC THU NOV 23 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 121.1W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 121.1W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 120.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 12.3N 121.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.2N 122.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.0N 122.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.9N 123.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.6N 122.9W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.2N 122.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 17.0N 122.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 121.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY
 
 
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