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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024
2100 UTC TUE AUG 13 2024
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 47(65) 9(74)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 8(41)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 6(23)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GRAND TURK 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) 1(14)
PUERTO PLATA 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PONCE PR 34 10 7(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
AGUADILLA PR 34 8 8(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
SAN JUAN PR 34 50 3(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
VIEQUES PR 34 72 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
VIEQUES PR 50 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
SAINT THOMAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAINT THOMAS 50 50 X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
SAINT THOMAS 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT JOHN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAINT JOHN 50 59 X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
SAINT JOHN 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SAINT CROIX 34 68 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SABA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BARBUDA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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