Hurricane ERNESTO

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024               
2100 UTC FRI AUG 16 2024                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  42(43)   1(44)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  43(54)   X(54)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   X(21)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)  20(36)   X(36)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   7(15)   X(15)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   2(14)   X(14)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  43(43)   1(44)   X(44)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   X(16)   X(16)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BERMUDA        50 89   9(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
BERMUDA        64 58  28(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PAPIN                                                    
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