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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072024
0300 UTC THU SEP 12 2024
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  31.3W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  31.3W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  30.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.1N  33.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.1N  35.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.9N  38.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.3N  39.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.6N  41.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.9N  42.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 20.5N  44.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 21.3N  46.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  31.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
 
 
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