Hurricane KIRK

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HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
2100 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  49.4W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......190NE 170SE 120SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 330SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  49.4W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  49.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.5N  50.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  50SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 32.0N  49.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 65NE  55SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 35.6N  46.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 65NE  65SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 39.1N  42.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 170SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.0N  36.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 190SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 45.0N  19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...230NE 280SE 210SW 180NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 49.5N   3.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...280NE 290SE 240SW 240NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N  49.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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