Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182024
1500 UTC MON NOV 04 2024
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  76.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  76.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  76.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.5N  77.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.2N  79.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.9N  80.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.7N  82.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.4N  83.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.6N  85.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 26.1N  87.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 27.4N  89.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  76.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 04/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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