Tropical Storm CARLOTTA

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TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032024
0300 UTC THU AUG 01 2024
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 108.9W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 108.9W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.2N 110.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.7N 112.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.0N 114.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.0N 116.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.0N 118.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.1N 120.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 18.7N 122.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 19.4N 124.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 108.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
 
 
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