Hurricane CARLOTTA

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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032024
1500 UTC FRI AUG 02 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 115.2W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 115.2W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 114.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.9N 117.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.3N 119.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.6N 121.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 123.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.3N 125.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.8N 127.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.6N 130.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.0N 134.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 115.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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