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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Carlotta Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032024
200 PM MST Thu Aug 01 2024
 
...CARLOTTA PASSING SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...17.5N 111.9W
ABOUT 510 MI...820 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was
located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 111.9 West. Carlotta is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This motion
is expected to continue through tonight, followed by a turn toward 
the west on Friday and a continued westward motion through the 
weekend.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, 
and Carlotta is expected to become a hurricane either tonight or
tomorrow.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.  The Mexican navy station on Socorro Island 
recently reported a wind gust of 43 mph (69 km/h).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Carlotta will affect the coasts of
west-central mainland Mexico and the southern Baja California
peninsula beginning later today. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the
weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
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