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TROPICAL STORM ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092024
2100 UTC THU SEP 12 2024
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 108.0W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 108.0W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 107.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 21.1N 108.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 22.7N 109.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 24.1N 110.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 25.3N 110.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.3N 110.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.2N 110.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 29.4N 111.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 108.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 13/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN
 
 
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