Hurricane KRISTY

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HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122024
2100 UTC THU OCT 24 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 121.6W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  926 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 121.6W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 121.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.8N 123.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.1N 125.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.7N 127.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.8N 129.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.7N 130.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  50SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.2N 131.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.4N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 121.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/B. ADAMS
 
 
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