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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY-UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM FRED...LOCATED ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 1. A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. WHILE THIS LOW IS PRODUCING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS LOW WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA TODAY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2. $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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