NHC Graphical Outlook Archive
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI AUG 20 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF BAY OF CAMPECHE AND ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE MOVING INLAND OVER MEXICO SATURDAY OR EARLY SUNDAY. 2. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS...HOWEVER...APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN NNNN
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