NHC Graphical Outlook Archive
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GIS data: .shp |
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT SAT SEP 10 2011 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. 1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. WHILE THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY MINIMAL...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD COOLER WATERS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY CONDUCIVE AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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