NHC Graphical Outlook Archive
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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT TUE MAY 28 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. 1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...AND HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT REACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO IN A DAY OR TWO. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AS TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED WITH LESS THAN THE NORMAL AMOUNT OF LEAD TIME. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AND WESTERN CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. 2. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENNISULA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND IT HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI NNNN
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