NHC Graphical Outlook Archive
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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT WED JUL 31 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GIL...LOCATED WELL OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. 1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. ALTHOUGH THE PROXIMITY TO TROPICAL STORM GIL MAKES THE DEVELOPMENT LESS LIKELY TO OCCUR...THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BEGINNING TOMORROW WITH THE 5 AM PDT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WILL BEGIN INCLUDING INFORMATION ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE FOLLOWING FIVE DAYS. THIS INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED PROBABILISTICALLY IN 10-PERCENT INCREMENTS...AND WILL SUPPLEMENT THE 48-HOUR PROBABILISTIC FORMATION POTENTIAL ALREADY PROVIDED. THE CURRENT GRAPHICAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK THAT SHOWS THE 48-HOUR GENESIS POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN UNCHANGED. NHC IS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING A FIVE-DAY GENESIS POTENTIAL GRAPHIC THAT MAY BECOME AVAILABLE LATER IN THE SEASON. FORECASTER AVILA
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