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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO...LOCATED WEST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. 1. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR ACAPULCO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AROUND MIDWEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT... OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. 2. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AND NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO DRY AIR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT... OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER BROWN
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