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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT TUE AUG 27 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. 1. THE PORTION OF THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT HAD BEEN MOVING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY...AND THE CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA IS DECREASING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT BY IN A DAY OR SO...AND DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT TIME IS NOT EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. 2. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WHILE IT MOVES NORTHWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT LIKELY AFTER THAT TIME...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. THIS DISTURBANCE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER BROWN
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