NHC Graphical Outlook Archive
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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT MON SEP 16 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. 1. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF MANUEL... IS LOCATED NEAR THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. ALTHOUGH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED A LITTLE NEAR THE TROUGH...THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS OF A CLOSED SURFACE WIND CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 5 MPH...AND BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY CLOSE TO THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT... OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER BERG
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