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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
Showers and thunderstorms have been displaced farther away from the 
center of an area of low pressure (the remnants of Gordon) located 
over a thousand miles southwest of the Azores due to strong 
upper-level winds.  Significant development of this system is 
not expected while it meanders over the central subtropical Atlantic 
during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure located about 650 miles northeast of the 
northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and a 
few thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions do not appear conducive 
for significant development of this system during the next couple of 
days while it drifts northwestward at about 5 mph over the central 
or western subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

3. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by the early to middle 
part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.  Thereafter, 
gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical 
depression could form as the system moves slowly to the north or 
northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern 
Gulf of Mexico through the end of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Forecaster Berg