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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed May 31 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Gulf of Mexico:
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is associated with 
a surface trough of low pressure interacting with an upper-level 
trough over the central Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions 
appear only marginally favorable for additional development over the 
next several days as the system meanders over the eastern Gulf of 
Mexico. The system is then forecast to move across the Florida 
Peninsula this weekend and emerge into the southwestern Atlantic 
Ocean by early next week. Regardless of development, the system 
could produce heavy rainfall and gusty winds over portions of the 
Florida Peninsula later this week. Additional information on the 
rainfall and flooding potential can be found in products issued by 
your local National Weather Service forecast office and Excessive 
Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Beven