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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 18 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Nigel, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by 
Wednesday.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive 
for gradual development of the wave thereafter, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend while 
the system moves westward across the eastern and central tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. Western Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form near the 
southeastern coast of the United States late this week.  This system 
could acquire some subtropical characteristics this weekend if it 
remains offshore while it moves slowly northward or northwestward.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Pasch