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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 18 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. East of the Windward Islands (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located about 850 miles east of the Windward Islands 
continue to show signs of organization, however it is not yet clear 
if the system has a well-defined surface circulation.  Environmental 
conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the 
next day or so while the system moves westward to west-northwestward 
across the western tropical Atlantic toward the Lesser Antilles.  
Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this 
system, and watches may be required for some of the islands later 
today.  Additional information, including storm warnings, can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 
Regardless of development, this system has the potential to bring 
gusty winds, heavy rainfall, and flooding to portions of the Lesser 
Antilles beginning Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Berg