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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jun 23 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Off the Southwestern Coast of Mexico:
A broad trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south 
of southern Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for development of this system, and a tropical depression is 
expected to form during the next several days while it moves 
generally west-northwestward and parallel to the southwestern coast 
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form during the early to middle part 
of next week several hundred miles south of El Salvador, Guatemala, 
and southern Mexico. Some gradual development of this system is 
possible thereafter as it moves slowly west-northwestward, remaining 
offshore of the southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart