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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 10 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Central East Pacific:
A tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south-southwest of
the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week
while it moves westward at about 15 mph across the central portion
of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
2. Western East Pacific:
Another tropical wave located well to the southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing some disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is
possible during the next several days while it moves generally
westward at 10 to 15 mph across the far western portion of the basin
and into the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
3. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of Central
America in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form during the early or middle part of next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the
coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Forecaster Reinhart