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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri May 17 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Coast of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles offshore of 
the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce some 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While environmental 
conditions appear only marginally favorable due to nearby dry air, 
some development of this system is possible during the next day or 
so as the low remains nearly stationary. By late this weekend, the 
low is forecast to interact or merge with another system to its 
east, and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. South of the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form several hundred miles to the 
south of southern Mexico during the next couple of days. Some slow 
development of this system is possible thereafter as it moves slowly 
to the west or west-northwest, remaining south of the coast of 
Mexico by the middle portion of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart