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Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Corrected for 5 to 7 days in second system.

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Western East Pacific (EP92): 
A broad, elongated area of low pressure located several hundred 
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  While a tropical depression could still form during 
the next day or two, the window for further development is 
shortening with stronger upper-level winds and cooler waters 
anticipated on Thursday.  The system is forecast to move west- 
northwestward at 10-15 mph across the western part of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is likely to form this weekend a few 
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Some 
slow development of this system is possible early next week while 
it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10-15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Blake