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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jul 17 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Western East Pacific (EP92): 
A broad area of low pressure located more than a thousand miles 
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
is producing poorly-organized showers and thunderstorms.  While a 
short-lived tropical depression could still form during the next 
day or so, the window for further development is closing with the 
system expected to encounter stronger upper-level winds and cooler 
waters by late Thursday.  The low is forecast to move 
west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the western part of the 
basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is likely to form this weekend a few hundred 
miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Some slow development 
of this system is possible early next week while it moves westward 
to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Beven