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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jul 18 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Western East Pacific (EP92): 
A broad area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles 
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well removed 
from its center.  Environmental conditions are becoming less 
conducive, with stronger upper-level winds and cooler waters, and 
further development of this system is unlikely.  The low is forecast 
to move generally west-northwestward at about  10 mph across the 
western part of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form by this weekend a few hundred 
miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Thereafter, some slow 
development of this system is possible by the middle of next week 
while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Pasch