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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jul 27 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
A large area of shower and thunderstorm activity located a few 
hundred miles south of Guatemala and southern Mexico is associated 
with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could 
form during the early or middle part of next week. The system is 
forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph 
during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern 
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Western East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form by the middle of next week well 
to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
Peninsula. Some slow development of this system is possible during 
the middle and latter parts of the week while it moves westward to 
west-northwestward across the western portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form offshore of the coast of 
Central America and southern Mexico during the latter part of next 
week. Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter 
while it moves generally westward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 


Forecaster Reinhart