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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP94):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of 
organization with an area of low pressure located a few hundred 
miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, 
and a tropical depression is expected to form over the next day or 
so. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 
10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the 
southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Western East Pacific (EP95):
An area of low pressure has developed well to the southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and shower and 
thunderstorm activity associated with the system continues to show 
some signs of organization. Additional development of this system is 
possible, and a tropical depression could form by the end of this 
week. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10 
mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of 
Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Afterwards, 
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end 
of the week or this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward 
to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, 
remaining offshore. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. 


Forecaster Bucci