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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Carlotta, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Western East Pacific (EP95):
A broad area of low pressure located well to the west-southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing some 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Marginal environmental 
conditions are expected to limit development of this system during 
the next couple of days. The low is forecast to meander over open 
waters during the next day or so, then move northeastward by late 
this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of 
Central America and southern Mexico is producing a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is 
expected to form from this system during the next day or so, and 
thereafter environmental conditions appear conducive for additional 
development. A tropical depression is likely to form by late this 
weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the 
coast of Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart