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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 2 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Carlotta, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Western East Pacific (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms have become a little less organized in 
association with an area of low pressure located well to the 
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula.  This system could still become a short-lived tropical 
depression before environmental conditions become unfavorable for 
development in a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico (EP96):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a 
few hundred miles south of southern Mexico is associated with a 
broad area of low pressure.  Environmental conditions appear 
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system 
moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, staying well 
offshore of the coast of Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.


Forecaster Cangialosi