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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Aug 20 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Gilma, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California peninsula. 

1. Well East-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP90/EP91):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is 
associated with two disturbances over the western portion of the 
East Pacific basin.  These systems are expected to merge later today 
or tonight, and gradual development is expected after they merge.  
A tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of 
days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward into the 
Central Pacific basin Wednesday night or early Thursday. 
Information on this system's development can also be found in the 
Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure is expected to form well to the south of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental 
conditions should support slow development thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend 
while the system moves west-northwestward over open waters, well 
offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be 
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on 
the web at hurricanes.gov

Forecaster Cangialosi