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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 11 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest 
of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing a large area of 
showers and thunderstorms stretching from the coast of Mexico and 
extending offshore for several hundred miles. This activity is a 
little better organized this afternoon, and environmental conditions 
appear conducive for additional development. A tropical depression 
is likely to form during the next couple of days as the system 
begins moving north-northwestward, near the coast of southwestern 
Mexico and towards the Baja California Peninsula. Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall is likely across coastal portions of 
southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Papin