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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 21 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles 
south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a trough 
of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible 
while it meanders offshore through early next week, then moves 
slowly eastward or northeastward toward the coast of southern Mexico 
during the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Central Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well to the southwest of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some slow development 
of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the 
early or middle part of next week while the system moves slowly 
eastward or northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart