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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Oct 3 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Eleven-E, located near the coast of southeastern 
Mexico.

1. Western Portion of the East Pacific:
A low pressure system located well to the west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing 
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Some limited 
development is possible while the low moves slowly northward or 
north-northeastward during the next couple of days.  Atmospheric 
conditions should become less conducive and prevent further 
development by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form off the coast of southwestern 
Mexico during the early to middle part of next week. Thereafter, 
some slow development is possible while the system drifts 
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Kelly