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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Western Portion of the East Pacific (EP98):
A low pressure system located well to the west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing limited 
and disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Atmospheric 
conditions are becoming less conducive and further development is 
not expected as the low moves slowly northward and northeastward 
over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form off the coast of southwestern 
Mexico during the weekend or early part of next week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for additional development of this 
system, and a tropical depression could form during the middle part 
of next week while the system drifts slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Bucci