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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Oct 7 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located less than 150 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico have 
changed little in organization this afternoon. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for some additional development and only 
a small increase in organization could result in the formation of a 
tropical depression tonight or tomorrow. The system is forecast to 
move slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of Mexico. 
Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the 
progress of this system. Regardless of development, the disturbance 
could bring areas of heavy rain to portions of southwestern Mexico 
during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.


Forecaster Papin