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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Oct 7 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located about 100 miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico have changed 
little in organization. Environmental conditions appear somewhat 
favorable for additional development and only a small increase in 
organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression 
on Tuesday. The system is forecast to move slowly 
north-northwestward to northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast 
of Mexico. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should 
monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, the 
disturbance could bring areas of heavy rain to portions of 
southwestern Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Bucci