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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI SEP 5 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure located inland over southern Georgia is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over Florida, Georgia, and the coastal Atlantic waters. Any
development of this low is expected to be slow to occur during the
next few days while it drifts northeastward close to the coasts of
Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina.  After that time,
strong upper-level winds are expected to limit the development
potential.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure continues to produce disorganized
cloudiness and thunderstorms southwest of the Cape Verde Islands
while it moves westward at about 15 mph. Significant development of
this system is unlikely due to an unfavorable dry airmass over the
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by
late Sunday. Environmental conditions would appear to support some
development of this system early next week while it moves to the
west or west-northwest over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Blake/Brennan

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