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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak trough of low pressure over Georgia is producing disorganized
cloudiness and showers from north Florida to the coastal waters of
the Carolinas. Development of this system is unlikely while it
drifts northeastward over the southeastern United States during the
next couple of days. After that time, this low is expected to
merge with a frontal zone over the western Atlantic Ocean and
development is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands shows some
signs of organization. However, this system is moving into an
unfavorable environment during the next several days, and
development is not anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
by late Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system early next week
while it moves toward the west or west-northwest over the eastern
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain

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