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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical gale located about 350 miles south-southeast of
Halifax, Nova Scotia, is producing shower and thunderstorm activity
northeast of the center.  Environmental conditions are expected to
remain unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation while this system
interacts with an upper-level low and a surface front during the
next couple of days. For additional information on this system,
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. A small area of low pressure located about 700 miles east-northeast
of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Significant development of this system is not expected while it
remains over marginally warm waters through Thursday. This low is
moving rapidly toward the northeast and is expected to move over
much colder waters by Friday, ending its chance of development as a
tropical cyclone.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Forecaster Blake

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