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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of low pressure located inland over southeastern Mexico
about 70 miles southeast of Ciudad del Carmen is producing
disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms across portions of the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan Peninsula.  This system
is moving slowly to the west-northwest, and some development is
possible later today or on Monday if the low emerges into the
southern Bay of Campeche. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if
necessary. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this system
will likely produce heavy rainfall across portions of Belize,
northern Guatemala, the Yucatan Peninsula, and southeastern Mexico
through Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Blake