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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms have become more concentrated overnight in
association with a low pressure area located about 100 miles
southeast of the Turks and Caicos.  Surface observations indicate
that gale-force winds have been occurring in brief squalls mainly to
the east of the center.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves
west-northwestward over the Bahamas and then turns northwestward.
Locally heavy rains and strong gusty winds are possible over
Hispaniola today, and over the Turks and Caicos and the southeastern
Bahamas during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Forecaster Cangialosi/Stewart