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Tropical Weather Outlook..Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021

Corrected genesis probabilities and category for the Gulf low

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Bill, located a few hundred miles southeast of Halifax, Nova 
Scotia.

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of 
Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low 
pressure area. This system is expected to move little during the 
next day or so, and any development should be slow to occur during 
that time period.  However, the disturbance should begin to move 
northward by Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
late in the week when the low moves across the central or 
northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy 
rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern 
Mexico during the next several days. Heavy rains could also begin to 
impact portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult 
products from your local meteorological service for more 
information. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms continued to diminish in association with 
a tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo 
Verde Islands.  Development of this system is no longer anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Beven