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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jun 14 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that a small 
area of low pressure has formed in the far southwestern Caribbean 
Sea, accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Further 
development of this system is possible while it drifts northwestward 
near the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras, and it could become a 
tropical depression later this week if the disturbance remains over 
water. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled 
to investigate this system tomorrow if necessary.  Regardless of 
development, the low could produce periods of heavy rainfall across 
portions of eastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras through late this 
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Hogsett/Pasch