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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak area of low pressure located near the coast of Georgia is
producing disorganized cloudiness and showers mainly over the
Atlantic coastal waters.  Any development of this low is expected to
be slow to occur during the next few days while it drifts
northeastward close to the coast of the southeast United States.
After that time, strong upper-level winds are expected to limit the
chances of development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
southwest of the Cape Verde Islands continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Significant development of
this system is not expected due to an unfavorable dry airmass over
the tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by
late Sunday. Environmental conditions could support slow development
of this system early next week while it moves toward the west or
west-northwest over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

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