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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Joaquin, located just north of the central Bahamas.

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure over the central Atlantic about
850 miles east-southeast of Bermuda continues to produce gale-force
winds, but the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has
diminished substantially since yesterday.  Environmental conditions
are forecast to be conducive for the low to acquire more tropical
characteristics for only about another day.  After that time, strong
upper-level winds associated with Hurricane Joaquin should prevent
development of this system.  Information on this low can be found
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

2. A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the
Cape Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some slow development of this system is possible
next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Landsea